Holyhead Hotspurvs
Newtown AFC
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newtown AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holyhead Hotspur 0-1 Newtown AFC
Original prediction
Newtown AFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–29%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Newtown AFC
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Holyhead HotspurLDLLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Newtown AFCWWWDW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Holyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
38.9Attack83.3
27.8Defence94.4
22.2Form88.9
32.5Power86.4
0.99xG2.99