Holyhead Hotspurvs
Caersws
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caersws · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holyhead Hotspur 1-1 Caersws
Original prediction
Caersws
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–37%
Predicted outcome
Caersws
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Caersws has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Holyhead HotspurWLLLD
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CaerswsDWLWW
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Holyhead HotspurCaersws
40.7Attack77.8
33.3Defence48.1
25.9Form63.0
35.7Power63.0
1.33xG3.01