Holstein Kielvs
Viborg
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holstein Kiel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holstein Kiel 3-1 Viborg
Original prediction
Holstein Kiel
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.2% | 37.5% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.4% | 26.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.4% | 35.7% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Holstein Kiel
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Holstein Kiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60