Holstein Kielvs
Hertha BSC
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/16/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertha BSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holstein Kiel 0-0 Hertha BSC
Original prediction
Hertha BSC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.7% | 20.3% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.5% | 20.4% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.8% | 59.3% | 18.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Hertha BSC
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Hertha BSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20