Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Home
W
41
Full time
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Al-Ahli Jeddah40%
Draw35%
Holstein Kiel25%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Holstein Kiel
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
25%
Draw
35%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Holstein Kiel
99
Al-Ahli Jeddah
34
Defence
Holstein Kiel
66
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
Momentum
Holstein Kiel
100
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
Danger (xG)
Holstein Kiel
3.60
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Holstein Kiel)
3.60
avg per match
xG for (Al-Ahli Jeddah)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Holstein Kiel)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Al-Ahli Jeddah)
3.60
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
WL
Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah
LWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Holstein Kiel25%
Draw35%
Al-Ahli Jeddah40%

Al-Ahli Jeddah leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Holstein Kiel head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Al-Ahli Jeddah arrive in mixed form (L). Holstein Kiel have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Holstein Kiel's elite attack (99/100) faces a vulnerable Al-Ahli Jeddah defence (1/100), while Al-Ahli Jeddah's attack is up against a solid Holstein Kiel backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Holstein Kiel's favour.

Holstein Kiel have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Holstein Kiel have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Holstein Kiel to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Holstein Kiel 2530%, Draw 3500%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 3970%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Holstein Kiel 1Draws 00 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Holstein Kiel
W41
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Recent form

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

W
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
15 Jul 2026
41
L
@ Dynamo Dresden
17 May 2026
12
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Ahli Jeddah

L
@ Holstein Kiel
15 Jul 2026
14
W
vs Al Kholood
16 May 2026
30
W
@ Al Taawon
11 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?

GoalVio's model predicts Holstein Kiel to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Holstein Kiel vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Holstein Kiel vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more