GGOALVIO

Germany · U19 Bundesliga · 8/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamburger SV U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Holstein Kiel U19 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hamburger SV U19 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstein Kiel U19 hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the U19 Bundesliga, while Hamburger SV U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamburger SV U19

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

7.3%

Hamburger SV U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Holstein Kiel U19LLDLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hamburger SV U19LLWDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Holstein Kiel U19Hamburger SV U19
46.7Attack33.3
9.3Defence0.0
25.3Form0.0
29.3Power15.3
1.96xG2.66
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