GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 8/4/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstebro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Holstebro are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vejgaard B are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstebro hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the 3. Division, while Holstebro holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstebro

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Holstebro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HolstebroLDLDD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vejgaard BDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
HolstebroVejgaard B
100.0Attack46.9
55.6Defence47.9
77.8Form42.7
76.6Power46.7
2.15xG1.13
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