Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holstebro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holstebro 1-2 Vanløse
Original prediction
Holstebro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.3% | 39.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 24.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.8% | 36.0% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Holstebro
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Holstebro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HolstebroLWWDL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
VanløseDWWLW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HolstebroVanløse
73.3Attack66.7
40.0Defence60.0
66.7Form53.3
59.8Power60.1
1.81xG1.75