GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 8/18/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holstebro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Holstebro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Silkeborg KFUM are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstebro hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the 3. Division, while Holstebro holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holstebro

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Holstebro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HolstebroWLLLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Silkeborg KFUMWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HolstebroSilkeborg KFUM
100.0Attack49.0
55.6Defence49.0
77.8Form43.8
76.6Power48.9
2.10xG1.18
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