Holstebrovs
Hørsholm-Usserød
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hørsholm-Usserød · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holstebro 0-4 Hørsholm-Usserød
Original prediction
Hørsholm-Usserød
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 26.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 21.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.4% | 51.7% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hørsholm-Usserød
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Hørsholm-Usserød has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40