Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brønshøj · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holstebro 2-4 Brønshøj
Original prediction
Brønshøj
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 22.5% | 19.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.9% | 20.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.5% | 60.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Brønshøj
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Brønshøj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HolstebroLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrønshøjDDWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
HolstebroBrønshøj
53.3Attack60.0
26.7Defence66.7
43.3Form63.3
42.6Power63.4
1.09xG2.58