Holon Yermiyahuvs
Tzeirey Tira
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holon Yermiyahu · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Holon Yermiyahu 2-0 Tzeirey Tira, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Holon Yermiyahu 3-0 Tzeirey Tira
Original prediction
Holon Yermiyahu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.3% | 68.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 20.8% | 19.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 6.97 | 12.8% | 12.4% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Holon Yermiyahu 2–0 Tzeirey Tira
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Holon Yermiyahu
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
Holon Yermiyahu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60