Holon Yermiyahuvs
Nordia Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/8/2026, 4:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holon Yermiyahu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holon Yermiyahu 5-0 Nordia Jerusalem
Original prediction
Holon Yermiyahu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 58.8% | 49.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.0% | 26.4% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.3% | 24.3% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Holon Yermiyahu
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Holon Yermiyahu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60