Holon Yermiyahuvs
Kfar Saba 1928
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/24/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holon Yermiyahu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Holon Yermiyahu 1-0 Kfar Saba 1928, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Holon Yermiyahu 1-0 Kfar Saba 1928
Original prediction
Holon Yermiyahu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 29.3% | 47.4% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.6% | 27.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.2% | 24.8% | -18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.1 pts
Projected Score
Holon Yermiyahu 1–0 Kfar Saba 1928
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Holon Yermiyahu
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Holon Yermiyahu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60