Holon Yermiyahuvs
Hapoel Marmorek
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/9/2026, 4:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holon Yermiyahu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Hapoel Marmorek, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Holon Yermiyahu 1-0 Hapoel Marmorek
Original prediction
Holon Yermiyahu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.7% | 39.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.2% | 31.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.2% | 29.1% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Holon Yermiyahu 0–0 Hapoel Marmorek
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Holon Yermiyahu
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Holon Yermiyahu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60