GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 8/12/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holbæk B&I · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Holbæk B&I are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while VSK Århus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Holbæk B&I hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the 3. Division, while Holbæk B&I holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holbæk B&I

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Holbæk B&IDLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
VSK ÅrhusWDWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Holbæk B&IVSK Århus
66.7Attack53.1
55.6Defence57.3
77.8Form50.0
70.7Power54.0
1.58xG1.32
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