GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holbæk B&I · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Holbæk B&I 4-0 Holstebro

Original prediction

Holbæk B&I

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3467.1%76.2%9.1 pts
Draw4.7918.8%12.7%-6.1 pts
Away6.4114.1%11.1%-2.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.5–18%

Predicted outcome

Holbæk B&I

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Holbæk B&IDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HolstebroLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Holbæk B&IHolstebro
78.8Attack54.5
45.5Defence21.2
69.7Form39.4
64.6Power40.1
4.33xG1.53
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