Holbæk B&Ivs
ASA Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holbæk B&I · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Holbæk B&I 2-1 ASA Aarhus
Original prediction
Holbæk B&I
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.3% | 56.8% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.2% | 19.5% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.84 | 15.5% | 23.7% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Holbæk B&I
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40