Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hohenems · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hohenems 3-1 Schwaz
Original prediction
Hohenems
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.5% | 55.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.6% | 21.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.9% | 23.1% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hohenems
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Hohenems has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HohenemsWLWWW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SchwazWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 22 · avg 1.60/4.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HohenemsSchwaz
100.0Attack73.3
66.7Defence40.0
80.0Form66.7
79.1Power62.3
2.69xG1.45