Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hohenems · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hohenems are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Schwaz are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hohenems hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (86.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Regionalliga - West, while Hohenems holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hohenems
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Hohenems has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 3.50/0.75