Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hohenems · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hohenems 3-1 Kufstein
Original prediction
Hohenems
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.1% | 74.9% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 19.9% | 15.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 7.41 | 12.0% | 9.8% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Hohenems
Probability
74.9%
Model confidence
74.9%
Hohenems has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HohenemsWWWWL
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KufsteinLLDDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HohenemsKufstein
91.7Attack41.7
70.8Defence50.0
87.5Form29.2
82.0Power42.4
2.99xG0.74