Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hohenems · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hohenems 1-2 Dornbirn
Original prediction
Hohenems
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.7% | 56.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.6% | 20.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.7% | 23.2% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hohenems
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Hohenems has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HohenemsWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DornbirnLLWDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
HohenemsDornbirn
90.0Attack76.7
70.0Defence66.7
90.0Form66.7
82.7Power67.0
2.00xG1.23