Hoffenheim IIvs
Verl
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoffenheim II 2-1 Verl
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.7% | 58.8% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.5% | 19.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.8% | 22.1% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60