Hoffenheim IIvs
SV Meppen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoffenheim II 1-0 SV Meppen
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.4% | 61.2% | 13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.1% | 19.4% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.5% | 19.4% | -9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20