Hoffenheim IIvs
SSV Jahn Regensburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 8/29/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoffenheim II 5-1 SSV Jahn Regensburg
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.6% | 37.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.5% | 25.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.0% | 36.4% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40