GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 8/13/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hoffenheim II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hoffenheim II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while SGV Freiberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hoffenheim II hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Regionalliga - SudWest, while Hoffenheim II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hoffenheim II

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hoffenheim IIWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SGV FreibergDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hoffenheim IISGV Freiberg
62.7Attack53.9
71.6Defence62.7
57.8Form57.8
62.6Power58.9
1.54xG0.85
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