Hoffenheim IIvs
Fortuna Köln
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoffenheim II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoffenheim II 2-2 Fortuna Köln
Original prediction
Hoffenheim II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 46.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 26.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.4% | 27.6% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hoffenheim II
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Hoffenheim II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60