Hoekvs
Spakenburg
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/29/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoek 0-2 Spakenburg
Original prediction
Hoek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.0% | 44.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 25.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.8% | 30.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hoek
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Hoek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HoekDWLDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SpakenburgLWDLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HoekSpakenburg
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power53.0
1.83xG1.26