Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Hoek

Hoek

Home
L
12
Full time
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hoek38%
Draw35%
NAC Breda27%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: NAC Breda
Win probability
Hoek
38%
Draw
35%
NAC Breda
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hoek
34
NAC Breda
73
Defence
Hoek
27
NAC Breda
66
Momentum
Hoek
0
NAC Breda
100
Danger (xG)
Hoek
0.90
NAC Breda
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Hoek)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (NAC Breda)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Hoek)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (NAC Breda)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HoekHoek
LW
NAC BredaNAC Breda
WDW

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Hoek38%
Draw35%
NAC Breda27%

Hoek leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Hoek head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while NAC Breda arrive in mixed form (W). Hoek have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for NAC Breda over 1 games.

Tactically, NAC Breda hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Hoek defence (27/100), while Hoek's attack faces a solid NAC Breda backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Hoek have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

NAC Breda have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Hoek to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hoek 3822%, Draw 3500%, NAC Breda 2678%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Hoek 0Draws 01 NAC Breda
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Hoek
L12
NAC Breda

Recent form

Hoek

Hoek

L
vs NAC Breda
15 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Rijnsburgse Boys
16 May 2026
20
NAC Breda

NAC Breda

W
@ Hoek
15 Jul 2026
21
D
@ AZ Alkmaar
17 May 2026
33
W
vs Heerenveen
11 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hoek vs NAC Breda?

GoalVio's model predicts Hoek to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hoek vs NAC Breda?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Hoek vs NAC Breda?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hoek vs NAC Breda?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more