Hoekvs
Kozakken Boys
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kozakken Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoek 0-0 Kozakken Boys
Original prediction
Kozakken Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.3% | 19.6% | -15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 24.9% | 18.1% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.9% | 62.3% | 22.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Kozakken Boys
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Kozakken Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80