Hoekvs
De Treffers
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
De Treffers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoek 3-1 De Treffers
Original prediction
De Treffers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.4% | 17.6% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.7% | 19.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.9% | 63.0% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
De Treffers
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
De Treffers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00