Hoekvs
Almere City II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoek 2-2 Almere City II
Original prediction
Hoek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 52.9% | 46.8% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.7% | 23.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.4% | 29.3% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Hoek
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Hoek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HoekDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Almere City IILLLLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HoekAlmere City II
40.0Attack53.3
53.3Defence33.3
33.3Form20.0
44.0Power35.0
1.82xG1.40