Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vítkovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hodonín are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vítkovice are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vítkovice hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the 3. liga - MSFL, while Vítkovice holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vítkovice
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
13.5%
Vítkovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60