Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hodonín · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hodonín 0-2 Vítkovice
Original prediction
Hodonín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.1% | 44.1% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.9% | 27.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 20.9% | 28.8% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Hodonín
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Hodonín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HodonínDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VítkoviceDLDWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HodonínVítkovice
43.1Attack0.0
52.9Defence66.7
47.1Form0.0
49.4Power23.7
1.49xG1.15