Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hodonín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hodonín 2-0 Vsetín
Original prediction
Hodonín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.3% | 54.8% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.5% | 23.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.2% | 21.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Hodonín
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Hodonín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HodonínWLLWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
VsetínDWWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HodonínVsetín
50.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power10.2
2.21xG1.00