Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hodonín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hodonín 0-1 Hranice
Original prediction
Hodonín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.5% | 52.1% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.2% | 24.4% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.3% | 23.5% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Hodonín
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Hodonín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HodonínLWLDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
HraniceWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HodonínHranice
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
2.13xG1.11