Hodonínvs
Frýdek-Místek
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - MSFL · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frýdek-Místek · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hodonín 3-0 Frýdek-Místek
Original prediction
Frýdek-Místek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.2% | 27.9% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 27.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.0% | 44.9% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Frýdek-Místek
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Frýdek-Místek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00