Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
hodd 2-1 Stabaek
Original prediction
Stabaek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.85 | 18.9% | 15.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.5% | 15.7% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.6% | 69.2% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
hoddLWWWL
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
StabaekWWWWW
GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
hoddStabaek
57.9Attack91.2
38.6Defence63.2
52.6Form73.7
51.4Power74.3
1.31xG3.11