Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
hodd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sogndal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
7.5%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00