Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
hodd 5-1 Raufoss
Original prediction
hodd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 50.0% | 66.8% | 16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.0% | 16.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.0% | 16.8% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
hoddDLLLW
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RaufossDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
hoddRaufoss
53.8Attack37.3
33.3Defence14.7
44.9Form26.7
46.0Power28.9
3.15xG1.32