Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
hodd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Raufoss are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.0% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
69.0%
Model confidence
69.0%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00