Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ranheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
hodd 1-1 Ranheim
Original prediction
Ranheim
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.4% | 36.1% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.1% | 22.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.5% | 41.4% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Ranheim
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Ranheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
hoddLLLWL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RanheimLWWWD
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
hoddRanheim
54.7Attack84.0
32.0Defence14.7
45.3Form41.3
46.0Power46.1
3.06xG3.17