Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
hodd 0-2 Lyn
Original prediction
hodd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.7% | 44.8% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.4% | 23.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.9% | 31.4% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
hoddDWLWW
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LynDDWWL
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
hoddLyn
58.7Attack57.1
39.7Defence30.2
54.0Form39.7
52.6Power43.2
2.76xG1.86