Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
hodd are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Egersund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.8 against 52.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
8.7%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60