GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hobro 2-2 Vendsyssel FF

Original prediction

Hobro

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2740.4%42.5%2.1 pts
Draw3.3427.5%26.7%-0.9 pts
Away2.8732.0%30.8%-1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Hobro

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HobroLDLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vendsyssel FFLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HobroVendsyssel FF
39.4Attack33.3
39.4Defence45.5
42.4Form30.3
43.6Power38.8
1.41xG1.09
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