Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vejle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hobro 0-0 Vejle
Original prediction
Vejle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.83 | 24.1% | 28.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.1% | 25.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.81 | 50.9% | 46.6% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vejle
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Vejle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HobroLLWWW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VejleWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HobroVejle
47.6Attack95.2
47.6Defence47.6
57.1Form81.0
54.0Power76.0
1.49xG2.14