GGOALVIO

Hobro logoHobrovsKolding IF logoKolding IF

COMPLETED

Denmark · 1. Division · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hobro 1-1 Kolding IF

Original prediction

Hobro

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6934.4%37.4%3.0 pts
Draw3.2528.4%27.9%-0.6 pts
Away2.4937.2%34.7%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–09%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

Hobro

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HobroLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kolding IFWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HobroKolding IF
44.4Attack37.0
40.7Defence55.6
48.1Form29.6
47.6Power43.7
1.33xG1.20
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