Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hvidovre · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hobro 1-3 Hvidovre
Original prediction
Hvidovre
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 37.1% | 33.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.5% | 27.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.4% | 39.4% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Hvidovre
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Hvidovre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HobroLWWWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HvidovreWDWWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HobroHvidovre
50.0Attack55.6
55.6Defence72.2
66.7Form77.8
60.6Power71.7
1.12xG1.39