GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hobro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aarhus Fremad are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobro hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hobro holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobro

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Hobro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HobroLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aarhus FremadDWLDD

GF 16 · GA 14 · avg 3.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HobroAarhus Fremad
44.4Attack41.7
55.6Defence66.7
44.4Form33.3
50.3Power45.9
1.38xG1.22
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