GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 6/13/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Lowconfidence

Hobart Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 4.60 conceded, while University of Tasmania are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart Utd. hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 94% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart Utd.

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

6.8%

Hobart Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart Utd.LWDWL

GF 13 · GA 23 · avg 2.60/4.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
University of TasmaniaDLLLW

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart Utd.University of Tasmania
75.0Attack58.8
0.0Defence0.0
31.3Form19.6
31.3Power27.9
4.50xG3.31
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