GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/13/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3

Highconfidence

Hobart Utd. are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while University of Tasmania are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 5.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart Utd. hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 94% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart Utd.

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Hobart Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart Utd.WLW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 3.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
University of TasmaniaWLW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 5.00/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Hobart Utd.University of Tasmania
75.0Attack58.8
0.0Defence0.0
31.3Form19.6
31.3Power27.9
4.50xG3.31
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